June 14, 2020

Sensitivity and Specificity

https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Sensitivity_and_specificity

Sensitivity is essentially how good a test is at finding something if it’s there. It is a measure of how often the test will correctly identify a positive among all positive by the gold standard test. For example, a blood test for a virus may have sensitivity as high as 99% or more — meaning that for every 100 infected people testing, 99 or more of them will be correctly identified. This is a good figure to take note of, but doesn’t necessarily reflect a test’s true effectiveness, as will become apparent.

Specificity is a measure of how accurate a test is against false positives. A sniffer dog looking for drugs would have a low specificity if it is often lead astray by things that aren’t drugs — cosmetics or food, for example. Specificity can be considered as the percentage of times a test will correctly identify a negative result. Again, this can be 99% or more for good tests, although a particularly unruly and easily distracted sniffer dog would be much, much lower.

Updated Jun, 14 2020


#Mental-models